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9 November, 2016 00:00 00 AM / LAST MODIFIED: 9 November, 2016 12:44:56 AM
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Hillary the favourite

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MIR MOSTAFIZUR RAHAMAN from Baltimore, Maryland
Hillary the favourite

The US presidential election, the most watched polling on the planet, started here yesterday with the latest opinion polls suggesting that Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton had a lead over her rival Republican Donald Trump. Nearly 90 million Americans were expected to vote and long queues were seen at many polling places with significance presence of black voters. Hillary Clinton cast her vote in the presidential election yesterday morning, describing the moment as ‘the most humbling feeling’. Taking part in the election which she is the firm favourite to win, the Democrat was greeted by supporters outside the polling station in her hometown of Chappaqua, New York. She was joined by her husband and former US President Bill Clinton, who said he's already ‘good’ at being a political spouse, joking that he had ‘15 years of practice’. Republican Donald Trump will also cast his vote in New York.
Analysts say they are seriously concerned about the potential for an unusual level of confusion and chaos as voters cast their ballots following a historically bitter presidential race.
The contest, which saw spending of 2.1 billion dollars on the 570 day long race, is still on a knife-edge and too close to call as the outcome of the voters’ choice in the 5 swing states, where both have been swapping leads in opinion polls, is still unclear.
According to some opinion polls including Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project, Democrat Hillary Clinton has about 90 per cent chance of winning the election to become the first women president in the history of the world’s most powerful country.
To win the election, Donald Trump has to bag all the 5 swing states including Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Virginia.
 On the other hand, Clinton needs one big state of these four, like Florida which has 29 electoral college votes or Pennsylvania which has 20 votes.
And that is why her last campaign rally was organised in Philadelphia, the main city of the state. Analysts, however, suggest that a surge of white Republican voters combined with a drop in turnout among black Democrats could be enough to tilt these swing states to Trump.
Still things are considered to be in favour of Clinton as any upset by Trump on Tuesday depends on an unlikely combination of turnouts of white, black and Hispanic voters in six or seven states. The former secretary of state was leading Trump by about 45 percent to 42 percent in the popular vote, and was on track to win 303

votes in the Electoral College to Trump’s 235, clearing the 270 needed for victory, the latest opinion poll survey showed.
Florida, with its 29 electoral college votes, is crucial for a Trump win. If Clinton wins Florida, she just needs to win one of the three big swing states of Ohio, Michigan or Pennsylvania while Trump would have to win all three. If he wins Florida, Trump still must win both Ohio and Michigan or hope for an upset in Pennsylvania.
According to the project survey, Clinton enjoys slight lead in Florida, 48 percent to 47. Clinton leads Trump by 75 points among black voters and has about a 20 point lead among Hispanics. But Trump enjoys a 30 point lead among likely white voters. Clinton’s success in Florida depends on heavy turnout among black voters. Without it, the race becomes razor-thin, even with a large increase in Hispanic ballots.
 Earlier on Monday night, both the candidates made their final poll campaign push. Clinton’s campaign finale included presence of President Obama, his wife Michel and performances by Lady Gaga and Jon Bon Jovi in Philadelphia. She called on voters to reject Donald Trump’s ‘dark and divisive’ vision in Raleigh, North Carolina, adding that there’s no reason why ‘America’s best days are not ahead of us’.
The Democratic candidate told cheering supporters that their ‘work will be just beginning’ after the Election Day.  Donald Trump gave a final message to his supporters in the election’s waning hours, saying ‘we have to win’. His final rally was on Monday night in Grand Rapids, Michigan, where he said his ‘new adventure’ will be ‘making America great again’.

 

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Editor : M. Shamsur Rahman

Published by the Editor on behalf of Independent Publications Limited at Media Printers, 446/H, Tejgaon I/A, Dhaka-1215.
Editorial, News & Commercial Offices : Beximco Media Complex, 149-150 Tejgaon I/A, Dhaka-1208, Bangladesh. GPO Box No. 934, Dhaka-1000.

Editor : M. Shamsur Rahman
Published by the Editor on behalf of Independent Publications Limited at Media Printers, 446/H, Tejgaon I/A, Dhaka-1215.
Editorial, News & Commercial Offices : Beximco Media Complex, 149-150 Tejgaon I/A, Dhaka-1208, Bangladesh. GPO Box No. 934, Dhaka-1000.

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