Household spending rebounds but recession looms in Japan

AFP, TOKYO: Spending among Japanese households rebounded in August, data showed Friday, offering a glimmer of hope after a string of weak figures, but economists warned the world’s number three economy was still headed for recession.
Consumers spent more on cars, household repairs, domestic travel and education costs, boosting monthly spending by 2.9 per cent,
well above market expectations for a 0.3 per cent rise and following a modest decline in July.
The upbeat figures were a rare bright spot in an otherwise gloomy string of trade, factory output and business confidence data that point to a contraction in the third quarter, ahead of the release of July-September GDP figures due next month.
While private spending accounts for about 60 per cent of Japan’s GDP, analysts have warned over a recession in the July-September quarter—after a contraction in the previous three months.
The slowdown in Japan’s economy has underlined the challenges facing Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s growth blitz, dubbed Abenomics, as speculation grows that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) would have to expand its massive asset-buying plan as early as this month.
“The renewed rise in... household spending in August suggests that private consumption rebounded last quarter,” Marcel Thieliant from Capital Economics said in a commentary.
“But we still expect GDP to shrink as a result of falling investment and net exports.”
Meanwhile, other data Friday showed Japan’s jobless rate edged up to 3.4 per cent  in August, from July’s 3.3 per cent  rate. Despite the slight gain in the jobless rate, Japan’s labour market was tight with a job seekers’ survey at a 23-year high. There were 123 job offers for every 100 job hunters in August, according to the report.
“This marks the strongest reading since 1992, and suggests that the unemployment rate could hit three per cent in coming months,” Capital Economics said.
But the job seekers survey also suggested a skills mismatch between those looking for work and the jobs available, added Hiromichi Shirakawa, chief economist at Credit Suisse.
“We think that rising job offers will not necessarily lead to any visible increase in the number of employed,” Shirakawa said.

 

Household spending rebounds but recession looms in Japan

AFP, TOKYO: Spending among Japanese households rebounded in August, data showed Friday, offering a glimmer of hope after a string of weak figures, but economists warned the worlds number three economy was still headed for recession. Consumers spent more on cars, household repairs, domestic travel and education costs, boosting monthly spending by 2.9 per cent, well above market expectations for a 0.3 per cent rise and following a modest decline in July. The upbeat figures were a rare bright spot in an otherwise gloomy string of trade, factory output and business confidence data that point to a contraction in the third quarter, ahead of the release of July-September GDP figures due next month. While private spending accounts for about 60 per cent of Japans GDP, analysts have warned over a recession in the July-September quarterafter a contraction in the previous three months. The slowdown in Japans economy has underlined the challenges facing Prime Minister Shinzo Abes growth blitz, dubbed Abenomics, as speculation grows that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) would have to expand its massive asset-buying plan as early as this month. The renewed rise in... household spending in August suggests that private consumption rebounded last quarter, Marcel Thieliant from Capital Economics said in a commentary. But we still expect GDP to shrink as a result of falling investment and net exports. Meanwhile, other data Friday showed Japans jobless rate edged up to 3.4 per cent in August, from Julys 3.3 per cent rate. Despite the slight gain in the jobless rate, Japans labour market was tight with a job seekers survey at a 23-year high. There were 123 job offers for every 100 job hunters in August, according to the report. This marks the strongest reading since 1992, and suggests that the unemployment rate could hit three per cent in coming months, Capital Economics said. But the job seekers survey also suggested a skills mismatch between those looking for work and the jobs available, added Hiromichi Shirakawa, chief economist at Credit Suisse. We think that rising job offers will not necessarily lead to any visible increase in the number of employed, Shirakawa said.